Rightmove's February House Price Index

• Average new seller asking prices rise by 0.9% (+£3,091) this month to £362,839. The annual price change moves tentatively back into positive territory after 6 months of annual price falls, with prices up by 0.1% on a year ago
• Agreed sales in the first six weeks of 2024 are 16% higher than over the same period last year, and 3% higher than in the more normal market of 2019, indicating that many early-bird buyers feel that 2024 offers the right conditions to move
• The growing market momentum is also evidenced by the increase in activity of both buyers and sellers on Rightmove with 7% more new listings coming to market than last year, and a 7% upturn in the number of buyers enquiring.
• However, the market remains very price-sensitive, and appears to be operating at two speeds, with properties that are priced accurately being snapped up by budget-conscious buyers, whilst over-priced properties are left on the shelf:
• It’s taking more than two weeks longer to find a buyer than at this time last year, with the average time to sell at its slowest since 2015, excluding the initial pandemic lockdown months of April & May 2020
• Rightmove analysis shows that sellers who price right initially are far more likely to sell quickly
• With the 2024 Budget approaching, more support to help first-time buyers onto the ladder would be welcome, with activity levels lagging behind in this sector as mortgage rates stay elevated and saving for a deposit remains challenging

Overview

Average new seller asking prices rise by 0.9% (+£3,091) this month to £362,839, in line with the seasonal rise we’d expect to see in February. Perhaps more noteworthy is that average prices are now up by 0.1% compared to this time last year, following annual falls in every month since August 2023, one of several signs of growing market momentum. The number of sales agreed in the first six weeks of the year is 16% higher than in the same period last year, indicating that early-bird buyers feel that 2024 offers the right market conditions to move, and they are already seizing the opportunity. However, the market remains price-sensitive, with many buyers very budget-conscious. Sellers who are over-optimistic and think that the more positive market sentiment will let them try asking for too high a price, risk being left on the shelf and missing out on the important Spring moving season.

Sales agreed numbers are being supported by more buyer and seller activity. During the first six weeks of 2024, the number of properties coming on to the market was 7% higher than the same period last year, while the number of buyers enquiring to estate agents was 7% higher. The number of sales being agreed is now 3%higher than at this time in 2019, as these numbers continue their transition towards more normal levels. Despite these positive activity numbers, the market appears to be operating at two speeds. Some agents report that properties that are accurately and competitively priced are being snapped up by budget-conscious buyers who are keen to make 2024 their year to move, having paused during the uncertainty of 2023. However, properties that are over-priced will immediately stand out against more competitively priced neighbours and are being left on the shelf by price-sensitive buyers. Evidence of this is that despite higher activity levels than last year, it’s now taking an average seller more than two weeks (16 days) longer to successfully find a buyer than at the same time last year. The time to find a buyer is at its slowest since 2015, excluding the initial lockdown months of April and May 2020. Buyers now have more time to consider which property is right for them, making it even more important for sellers to price temptingly and stand out from the crowd. Rightmove analysis also shows that sellers who price right initially are far more likely to find a buyer and sell more quickly. As the 2024 Budget approaches, Rightmove’s data indicates that the first-time-buyer sector is most in need of government support, with buyer activity levels and sales in this sector the least improved compared to last

year. While the mortgage market has recovered its stability, there are growing signs that the room for lenders to reduce rates further is narrowing, and that rates will settle at elevated levels for the near future. On top of this, inflation and cost-of-living pressures remain, making saving up a large enough deposit challenging for would-be first-time buyers.

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